With Crown Estate consultations taking place in London and especially Edinburgh, I thought it may be a good time to re-visit an article on floating wind published three and a half years ago: /greenpoweracademyblog.2015/05/27/offshore-innovation-the-key-to-cost-reduction/
Since then Hywind has moved from being a twinkle in the then Statoil, now Equinor’s, eye and others are attracting global attention. I reproduce the original below but, in a nutshell, here is what has happened since
Hywind has proved a remarkable success with the turbines performing well and the site boasts outstanding capacity factors – coupled with excellent operational mechanical characteristics
Equinor wishes to develop Hywind and its splendidly named Batwind electrical energy storage concepts further. When I penned my article the then Statoil team regarding water depths of under 100m as shallow but the underwater spar element is now reduced to 80m – meaning more sites can be developed – especially significant if the trend continues.
Cabling – one of the Achilles heals of offshore wind is still being developed. Hywind had traditional seafloor cabling but dynamic modelling and trialling is underway which should reduce materials, seabed modifications and costs
Principal power and Floating Power Plant (FPP) with their semi-submersible and integrated devices have both moved on successful and are deploying and looking at the North American markets.
The Scottish Crown Estate are likely to make a UK Floating Offshore Wind industry possible vie a new leasing round which is currently under consultation. It is likely floating offshore will be combined with nascent and sister technologies to encourage their deployment, improve variable generation and head for the holy grail of baseline generation.
A UK offshore wind Sector deal is being mooted in a post-Brexit environment – An unknown in pre- referendum 2015 but further testimony to the remarkable success of offshore wind in the UK
Almost incredibly we learned this week from The Scottish Crown Estate that :
“Our analysis predicts that, with conservative assumptions for UK and global deployment, floating wind can be cost competitive with fixed offshore wind by 2031.” A startling statement – surpassing traditional turbine foundations which are themselves reducing in costs – by 2031 which will encourage further global deployment
The turbines deployed, as with more traditional foundations are getting bigger and bigger with 9.5 MW machines being installed at Kincardine in Eastern Scotland which has just started generating and driving cost ever downwards.
So, the article was pretty close to the mark and the floating offshore industry which still faces challenges is well set for a quantum leap forward.
This may be of interest
The original Green Power Academy article: /greenpoweracademyblog.2015/05/27/offshore-innovation-the-key-to-cost-reduction/
May 27, 2015 Offshore Innovation: the key to cost reduction
The offshore wind industry is aware that cost reduction is essential for its viability and long-term future. A whole raft of policy papers seek to address the issue, with the focus being on incremental savings in areas such as grid, components and the utilising of larger turbines with subsequent economies of scale.Turbine foundation costs in particular can quickly rise as we need more steel in order to go into deeper water. Installation of offshore machines obviously costs considerably more than carrying out the same works onshore something which the oil and gas industry have been alert to for years. It is clear that in order to make the necessary savings for project viability, new technologies are required.
One technology which has been trialled is Statoil’s operational Hywind project. Originally designed by the Norwegian oil company to feed renewable energy to an offshore drilling platform, the 2.3 MW turbine does away with traditional foundations altogether. Instead of a fixed seabed monopile, gravity base, or lattice structure, Hywind utilises a ballasted steel cylinder which extends 80m – 100m below the surface of the water. The technology emerged from the oil and gas industry and their drive to exploit deeper water sites with which Statoil was already familiar.
Wind turbines need great stability both for certification and effective generation; they need to remain within three degrees from true vertical at all times – Hywind has achieved this and performed well for seven years. Now the technology is proven to work, Statoil is escalating its development programme and has plans for a thirty machine commercial wind farm at Buchan Deeps off the North East coast of Scotland.
Due to the sheer size of the ballasted cylinder chamber which needs depths of 80m to ensure stability, Hywind requires water depths in excess of 100m to be deployed, making it unsuitable for areas of shallower water including much of the Eastern UK waters. It is however one of a range of new developments which aim to address the escalating costs of traditional sea bed structures.
A different approach is being taken by Principle Power; their Windfloat solution is based around a semi-submersible triangular structure which dampens wave motions and can be deployed in much shallower waters of 50m rather than Hywind’s required 100m. Principle has an operational prototype based off the coast of Portugal; the machine was assembled onshore prior to being towed to site and continues to generate, producing in excess of 9GWh since 2009.
There are other entrants to the market for floating wind; Alstom, for example, announced in November 2014 a semi-submersible 6MW trail machine alongside their partner DCN with funding in place until certification (and readiness for mass production).
There are also options for using concrete caissons for stability, a concept which is far from new as the Mulberry harbours deployed in the D-Day landings of 1944 used concrete floating caissons with remarkable results. Local concrete production may prove an attractive economic proposition for sometimes remote coastal communities
All the various floating machines offer significant OPEX gains; fixes can be carried out onshore for larger jobs and replacement turbines could even be floated out whilst any machines are down. Decommissioning at the end of life simply involves towing the machine back to shore.
As for attracting investment, the Financial Times (FT) of November 23rd 2014 reported progress on floating turbines and added Alstom to those trialling the floating machines. The FT has reported that industry consultants Glosten Associates have conducted a Front End Engineering Design process (FEED) on floating turbine technology and concluded that the cost of offshore wind could fall from around £150MWh to £85MWh within ten years if deployment occurs; representing a compelling case for floating offshore machines.
Innovation is clearly winning through for offshore wind, so where does this leave the future of floating wind? Will we need to move ever further offshore to accommodate the 100m depth needed by Hywind?
Curiously the answer is likely to be no.
As we go ever further from shore other factors become more significant, perhaps the most important being cabling. The length and therefore cost of export cabling required for a grid connection becomes problematic, as indeed does the time to travel from a base to carry out operations.
So where to site the turbines most effectively? Perhaps in the UK at least, the answer lies closer to home. Offshore wind farms have initially been sited close to shore, where the sandy and shallow seabed conditions allow for easiest development; however, now these sites have been largely exhausted the industry has been forced to move to deeper water with subsequent cost increases. New technologies such as floating turbines may allow a return to sites close to shore that have previously been rejected because of their challenging conditions.
With its requirement for a minimum of a 100m depth Hywind may not be suited to the relatively shallow waters prevalent on the Eastern side of the UK; other potential solutions such as Windfloat or even newer technologies such as combined wind and wave generators may find a niche off the UK coast.
Whilst it is not one size fits all for floating offshore wind; it is clear that floating turbines have a promising future with near shore deep water being the most likely sites for any early deployment.
The Scottish Marine Plan published in March 2015 highlights areas which may be suitable in Scottish territorial waters. There are likely to be many others throughout Europe – and beyond.
The opportunity for floating wind is there to be taken.